Fantasy Basketball Daily Boxscore Review (10/30/09)
Oct 30, 2009 Blog
Pretty quiet fantasy night with only two games on the schedule for Thursday, but Friday should be a fantasy feast with 13 games going off. I have been asked by a few people what formula I use for possessions, so here it is: Possessions = FGA + TOV + (.4 x FTA) – OREB. Some people use .44 as the free throw multiplier, I use .4 because it makes the math easier to do in my head. Dean Oliver uses .4 in his book, so I feel comfortable with it. No matter what figure you use, the formulas are an estimation. The only way to get the exact number would be to watch the game and count every possession. Wish I had that much free time. On to the boxscores:
Fantasy Studs: Tim Duncan, Carmelo Anthony, Chauncey Billups, Brandon Roy, Luol Deng.
Fantasy Duds: Steve Blake/Andre Miller, Richard Jefferson, Tony Parker, John Salmons, LaMarcus Aldridge, DeJuan Blair.
SAS 85 @ CHI 92 Poss: 91 SAS ORtg: 93.4 CHI ORtg: 101.1
SAS: 44.9 eFG% OReb% 17.8 DReb% 70.6 TO% 14.3 FTR 19.2
CHI: 43.5 eFG% Oreb% 29.4 DReb% 82.2 TO% 9.9 FTR 22.6
Chicago won this one on the boards with a huge rebounding advantage. Duncan had 12 rebounds for San Antonio, nobody else on the team had more than 4. The Bulls had 7 players with more than 4. Chicago also protected the ball very well with a low 9.9% turnover rate.
SAS Fantasy Notes: I’d say age caught up with SA on back to backs, but that theory ends with Tim Duncan getting 28pts/16reb/2stl/3blk, although he did only get 22 minutes the night before….D. Blair only 13 min, still 6pt/4reb….Parker looked to be ok after his fall on Wednesday but didn’t put up much of a line, 35min/8pt/3ast….Ginobili 12pt/6reb….Jefferson with another poor outing, 9pt/2reb. Now that he has a good supporting cast, he may see a decrease in his fantasy stats….Matt Bonner again outplayed McDyess.
CHI Fantasy Notes: A very balanced team with no fantasy studs in this game, hope this isn’t a trend….Derrick Rose looked good for as much time as he missed. He got 33 min/13pt/7ast/7reb/1stl/1blk….Deng looked good 17pt/9reb on 8 of 13 shooting….Tyrus Thomas is a better player in real life than in fantasy, 3blk….Noah 10pt/10reb/2blk….Salmons with a 1-9 from three, 3-15 overall….Hinrich a decent night 5-11, 14pts.
DEN 97 @ POR 94 Poss: 87 DEN ORtg: 111.5 POR ORtg: 108.4
DEN: 48.4 eFG% OReb% 14.3 DReb% 68.9 TO% 9.2 FTR 62.3
POR: 37.7 eFG% Oreb% 31.1 DReb% 85.7 TO% 8.0 FTR 40.7
This game turned into a free throw shooting contest which was won by Denver. A combined 90 free throws in this game pushed both teams free throw rate high, but the 62.3 figure for DEN is huge and is rarely seen. Portland was the better rebounding team, but was the worse shooting team with an eFG% of only 37.7. Much like last season, Portland is going to be one of the slowest paced teams in the NBA.
DEN Fantasy Notes: It’s the Melo and Billups show, Anthony with 41pt/6reb and Billups with 22pt/6ast…Nene 7pt/11reb….Kenyon Martin 6pt/5reb…. Chris Andersen 5pt/6reb/1blk….This offense should roll when JR Smith gets back from his suspension.
POR Fantasy Notes: Aldridge with another disappointing game, 9pt/7reb in 40 min….After exploding in the first game, Travis Outlaw only managed 4 pts on 1-8 shooting….Rudy Fernandez was solid, 22pt/4reb….Oden 6pt/9reb and didn’t help his FT confidence by missing two big ones at the end…. Roy 30pt/5reb/5ast only 1 turnover….Andre Miller clearly isn’t happy coming off the bench, 3-11 shooting, 5 ast. Given Steve Blake’s performance, it shouldn’t be long before he moves into the starting role….I’m beginning to wonder if Nate McMillan knows what he is doing. All that underperforming talent.